" I think it's a matter of days, not more '." The former representative of Libya from the Arab League, Abdel Moneim al-Honi no doubt, the fate of the Libyan regime is marked .
And besides, when a dictator in order to set fire to oil wells means that probably is aware of being on the ropes. The tone of the incoherent speech Tuesday night looks like a tyrant with nothing to lose and therefore dangerous, but came to the last gasp, could eventually committed suicide in his bunker, like other "illustrious" ancestors.
In these hours are increasing reports of cities or entire regions of the Libyan territory subject to the scrutiny of the scheme and there are even signs of loosening of the army: the desertions are not counted, many officials are now openly common cause with the rioters and this is usually a prelude to a rapid fall of the dictator of the moment.
There However, a complication from what we saw happen in Egypt in Libya 's army has no clear guidance in any case it is a body ill-equipped and poorly trained . It is no secret that Gaddafi has never wanted a strong army, just to stave off the threat of a military coup and it is no coincidence that in its most difficult hour, the dictator has been given to Bedouin mercenaries and militia recruited from around Africa, more than its military.
why a turnaround of large sections of the armed forces may not be sufficient to lead to a rapid and above all clear.
The risk is not only a civil war that lasted for days or weeks (difficult, however, think that it can take longer due to the rapid evolution of events), but also that of a Libya that, in various areas, power groups say is patchy, related to various tribal affiliations and the strong likelihood of infiltration by groups close to Al Qaeda , already moving on the ground, ready to put their flag on the sacrifice of thousands of people.
The confirmation that the east of the country is establishing an Islamic emirate -led al-Qaeda is a signal of the need not waste any time. This crisis must be "addressed" as soon as possible with aid specific forces that are pushing for a democratic outlet for guaranteeing freedom of the Libyan people, or we risk finding ourselves a fundamentalist state that overlooks the Mediterranean.
Europe dithers as usual and the U.S. President Obama has been silent until a few hours ago. Signals not just exciting. There
just hope that in the nerve center of the West we realize what is at stake: the fall of Gaddafi is an opportunity, but could not take it turn it into a defeat, and potentially a threat.
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